
\begin{table}[htb]
\caption{Hypothesis 2: Binned $\Delta$ STC, political ideology, and $\Delta$ incumbent vote share}
\begin{center}
\begin{tabular}{l D{)}{)}{9)3}}
\hline
 & \multicolumn{1}{c}{Model 3} \\
\hline
$\Delta$ STC Stable                   & 1.55 \; (1.47)        \\
$\Delta$ STC Increase                 & 0.24 \; (1.35)        \\
Ideology: Left-wing                   & 0.33 \; (2.93)        \\
Ideology: Center                      & -0.82 \; (3.44)       \\
Ideology: Right-wing                  & 2.87 \; (3.33)        \\
Ideology: Far-right                   & 1.60 \; (2.89)        \\
$\Delta$ STC Stable $\times$ LW       & -0.37 \; (1.81)       \\
$\Delta$ STC Increase $\times$ LW     & 2.89 \; (1.62)^{*}    \\
$\Delta$ STC Stable $\times$ Center   & 5.90 \; (1.96)^{***}  \\
$\Delta$ STC Increase $\times$ Center & 2.56 \; (1.88)        \\
$\Delta$ STC Stable $\times$ RW       & 0.38 \; (2.03)        \\
$\Delta$ STC Increase $\times$ RW     & 0.65 \; (1.85)        \\
$\Delta$ STC Stable $\times$ FR       & 0.78 \; (1.82)        \\
$\Delta$ STC Increase $\times$ FR     & 1.07 \; (1.62)        \\
(Intercept)                           & -7.28 \; (2.61)^{***} \\
\hline
AIC                                   & 17309.31              \\
BIC                                   & 17412.93              \\
Log Likelihood                        & -8636.65              \\
N                                     & 2338                  \\
Group: Parties                        & 70                    \\
Group: Country                        & 28                    \\
Var. Party                            & 27.99                 \\
Var. Country                          & 21.53                 \\
Var. Residuals                        & 89.61                 \\
\hline
\multicolumn{2}{l}{\scriptsize{\parbox{.5\linewidth}{$^{***}p<0.01$; $^{**}p<0.05$; $^{*}p<0.1$. Entries are unstandardised coefficients from a linear mixed-effects model. Standard errors in brackets.}}}
\end{tabular}
\label{TableB3}
\end{center}
\end{table}
